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October 1, 2005

Lebanonwire

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2005 parliamentary elections reveal Lebanese power structure

BEIRUT, Lebanon, October 1 (Lebanonwire) -- A comprehensive study made by Abdo Saad, a political researcher and the Managing Director of the Beirut Center for Research and Information, will be published Monday in a book entitled: “The 2005 Parliamentary elections: analyses and results”, revealing the true balance of power enjoyed by the main election winners and non-winners.

As Safir daily reported Saturday that Saad, who is known as “the father of proportional representation” for his electoral law preference, will hold a signing ceremony of the book, which includes a “panoramic” view of the events leading to the Parliamentary elections.

The book talks about the “sectarian and regional” power struggles that led to the forced alliances made to enable certain parties and groups to succeed following Prime Minister Rafik Hariri’s murder and the withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon.

The book mentioned how the arrival of former Army general Michel Aoun to the Lebanese scene shuffled the decks and changed the make-up of what was expected to be a runaway victory for the opposition that demonstrated on March 14th.

As for the winners, the book ranked Al-Mustakbal Movement first with 17.2% of the popular vote with 240,000 (106,500 votes in Beirut), Hezbollah party second with 14.6% or 203,000 votes (111,000 in the South), the Free Patriotic Movement third with 14.5% or 202,000 votes (131,000 in Mount Lebanon), the Amal Movement fourth with 8.6% or 120,500 votes (105,500 in the South), the Progressive Socialist Party Fifth with 6.3% or 87,700 votes (78,000 in Mount Lebanon), the Lebanese Forces 6th with 5.1% or 70,500 votes (28,500 in Mount Lebanon), Suleiman Franjieh 7th with 2.7% or 33,0000 votes (North) and the Qornet Shehwan Gathering 8th with 2.2% or 30,000 votes (17,000 in the North).

The Lebanese communist Party, the Syrian Socialist Party, the Tripoli Gathering, the Phalange, and the Armenian party the Tashnak ranked 9th, 10th, 11th, 12th and 13th respectively with votes ranging from 1.7% down to 1.2%.

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