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| Arab rift over Gaza
raises stakes in Lebanon vote Beirut - Rifts between Arab states over the war in Gaza add an extra challenge to Lebanon's fragile political stability as it approaches an election this year. Arab states' conflicting positions, underlined by their support for rival Palestinian groups, mirror factional rows in Lebanon which have fuelled political crisis in recent years. Deepened by the Gaza conflict, Arab divisions look set to increase the political heat in Lebanon as alliances backed by rival regional states compete for control of parliament in the June 7 legislative elections. "I am still afraid for Lebanon," said Rosana
Boumonsef, a political commentator with the Lebanese An-Nahar newspaper. "Gaza and
Lebanon were, and remain, the scene for the translation of this Arab struggle," she
said. Tensions among Lebanese, fuelled by Arab states' differences over the diplomatic approach to the Gaza crisis, quickly turned into political infighting over whether Lebanon should take part in a gathering of Arab leaders convened last week by Qatar. Lebanese President Michel Sulaiman reversed an initial decision not to go to the Doha summit, apparently under pressure from Syria's allies in Lebanon, which include the powerful Iranian-backed group Hezbollah. Saudi Arabia sought this week to narrow differences with Syria and Qatar at this week's Kuwait summit. But its public overture appeared to make little progress. The Qatar summit, which was attended by the leader of Hamas, was opposed by US-allied Arab states Egypt and Saudi Arabia, both of which favour dealing with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas. Syria and Iran, both backers of Hamas, attended. Pro-Hezbollah newspaper Al Akhbar said Sulaiman's initial decision on the Qatar gathering showed his bias towards the anti-Syrian "March 14" alliance, led by Saudi-backed politician Sa'ad Al Hariri. Sulaiman "threatened internal consensus", it said. It was the first serious criticism Sulaiman has faced since his election as a "consensus candidate" in May as part of the Doha agreement, which led to the formation of a national unity government. Publicly, Lebanese leaders remain committed to the Doha deal. But with none of the root causes of the political conflict resolved, some observers say a new understanding will be needed to avoid more crisis in the post-election period, when a new government will be formed. Crossing an "Arab minefield", as Al Anwar newspaper said in an editorial, Lebanese areas of dispute include the role of the guerrilla army operated by Hezbollah, a strategic ally of Iran. Hezbollah's military wing is a major concern among the Shiite group's opponents in Lebanon. Likewise, an international tribunal to hear a case into the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Al Hariri is likely to force itself onto the political agenda once again when the court is established in The Hague on March 1. With the stakes so high for the Lebanese rivals and their regional sponsors, both sides will seek to win the parliamentary election "by any means", one diplomat in Beirut said. -Reuters |