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April 28, 2006

Lebanonwire

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Lebanon on the verge of ending or 'institutionalizing' dialogue

By Farid Chedid
Lebanonwire


As Lebanon leader's prepare to meet again under the umbrella of what has been termed as the National Dialogue Roundtable, the question that promptly poses itself is whether Friday's session will survive the recent war of words between the participants, or whether it will be their last.

The first peril to the session and perhaps to the entire dialogue is the insistence by the Leader of the "Change and Reform Bloc" General Michel Aoun on hearing from the participants their answer to his nomination for presidency, and the consequent possibility of his withdrawing from session if the answer is negative.

Commenting on this possibility, Public Works and Transport Minister Mohammed Safadi said, "in this case the current dialogue session would be the last because a personality representing a large segment of society would have left the table, while the aim is to have the majority of the people represented," daily An-Nahar quoted him as saying

The other alternatives to this calamity would be one of two: Endorsing the nomination of General Aoun for presidency by the March 14 Coalition and consequently by Hezbollah and Amal Movement, thus  giving him over 120 parliamentary votes, or finding a passive solution to the dilemma by endorsing Lahoud's continuation till the end of his tenure, just by failing to agree on an alternative.

However, the course events are taking points to a general consensus on the necessity of continuing on with dialogue to the point of 'institutionalizing' the practice, as Speaker Berri was said to be aiming at, according to daily Al-Balad.

If pushed to the end, this practice would, functionally speaking, lead to the formation of what may be later termed as "The Council of Lebanon Leaders" - an institution which will built itself on the notion of ruling Lebanon by consensus through both, agreeing to agree and agreeing to disagree.

Though still in the making, the achievements so far reached by Lebanon leaders touched upon three basic issues:

  1. Establishing diplomatic relations and delineating borders between Lebanon and Syria.
  2. Removing Palestinians weapons outside camps.
  3. Setting an international tribunal to rule on the assassination of former prime minister Rafic Hariri and others.

However, the impending question on points one and two above is whether it would be possible to overcome the obstacles posed by Syria in this regard, resolve Hezbollah's play on words as to whether the participants have agreed on 'specifying' or on 'delineating' the Shebaa Farms borders, and tackle the refusal by the leader of the radical Palestinian Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP-GC) Ahmad Jibril to surrender Palestinian arms outside camps before Lebanon attends to the humanitarian aspect of the issue.

Th remaining two issues, namely  the presidency and Hezbollah's arms, or what has recently been termed as 'Lebanon's defense strategy', will also be on the table, with a tendency to agree on the principle of cohabitation with Lahoud, reviving and boosting the performance of the government with focus on resolving Lebanon's economic crisis, and indefinitely extending dialogue on the issue of Hezbollah's arms.

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