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Lebanonwire, July 18, 2002

Commentary

The Daily Star

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Why has Qatar gone constitutional?
Abdulhadi Khalaf

On July 2, the chairman of the 32-man committee appointed by the emir of Qatar, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani, to draft a permanent constitution for the emirate, presented the document to the ruler.
It proposed a series of reforms, such as establishing a legislative council ­ 30 of whose 45 members would be elected, the remainder appointed by the emir ­ and granting women the right to vote and run for public office.
While the full text of the 150-article draft constitution has not been released, available information indicates that it shares two common features with Arab constitutions. One is a guarantee of public freedoms, including assembly, association, expression and opinion, press and publishing, religion, and so on. Second, it leaves it to the law to regulate the way in which these freedoms can actually be exercised ­ a stipulation that continues to sanction the systematic denial of citizens’ constitutional rights by undemocratic regimes.
Before it transforms Qatar into another “constitutional monarchy,” the draft document has to be ratified and promulgated by the emir. No date has yet been set for this historic event, which would start a new phase in the political reform process begun by Sheikh Hamad in November 1998, when he promised to modernize state institutions and provide Qatar with a permanent constitution and an elected Parliament.
For a time, he seemed on track. In March 1999, Qatar held its first municipal elections, becoming the first member state of the Gulf Cooperation Council ­ which includes Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain and the UAE ­ to let women vote and run for office. No women were actually elected, but the move was a public relations coup, earning the emir the congratulations of the US House of Representatives for his “commitment to suffrage and … democracy.”
While limited to municipal elections, the enfranchisement of Qatari women was historically significant ­ given the plight of their sisters in Saudi Arabia, and the all-male Kuwaiti Parliament’s successful torpedoing of a government proposal to extend political rights to Kuwaiti women.
Why has Sheikh Hamad opted for the constitutional path? He faces no serious challenge to his authority. Successive Qatari rulers have ­ more than their GCC counterparts ­ been remarkably successful in dealing with popular discontent, elite grievances and periodic demands by tribal leaders.
Some observers speculate Sheikh Hamad has been pursuing these limited reforms to “ruffle the feathers” of other Gulf rulers, particularly those of Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. Alternatively, he may be motivated by a real interest in good governance, the rule of law and other requisites of modern statehood.
Others point to Qatar’s new role as a major US military base in the region. Homemade democratic reforms, they argue, would pre-empt any serious pressure for such measures from Washington, which might otherwise come under criticism for its coziness with the anachronistic regimes of the GCC. This becomes an important factor as the number of American servicemen and women stationed in Qatar grows from 3,000 ­ as a result both of the relocation of troops from bases in Saudi Arabia and preparations for a military campaign against Iraq.
My own guess is that Sheikh Hamad has at least one additional reason to resort to political reforms: as a pro-active strategy to maintain his rule and secure his regime’s stability of his regime. Conscious of his family’s history of palace coups, Sheikh Hamad has to keep a watchful eye on his own backyard. Credible threats to his regime are not to be found in Iraq, Iran, or even Bahrain ­ Qatar’s longtime rival ­ but within Doha’s royal palaces. The emir’s reforms play the dual role of discrediting and discouraging would-be schemers of the next palace coup.
Even by GCC standards, Qatar is a relatively recent political formation. The Al-Thani, a branch of the Najdi tribe of Tamim, established their rule there in the latter half of the 19th century. Although they soon came under Ottoman tutelage and then British protection, their rule was often challenged by local tribes, encouraged by competing tribal chiefs in Najd and Bahrain. But while conflicts and armed skirmishes with Qatar’s neighbors have sometimes become minor international incidents, the ruling family’s own factional quarrels have been the main ­ and most serious ­ source of regime instability.
Sheikh Hamad himself seized power from his father in a 1995 palace coup, and the deposed father repeatedly tried to stage a counter-coup. The most spectacular, in 1996, resulted in the arrest of scores of co-plotters and sympathizers within the armed forces and ruling family. He is now said to have finally given up.
The 1995 coup was no aberration. Every ruler of Qatar since 1949, including Sheikh Hamad’s father, took power after the forced abdication of a predecessor. Official history records that each “transfer of power” took place “with the support and approval of the ruling family, the Qatari people and the armed forces.”
Whatever Sheikh Hamad’s motives, limited reforms cannot take the country far or erase a long history of political misrule and mismanagement of resources.
Like his Bahraini counterpart, Sheikh Hamad considers the process of political reform to be an emiri prerogative, delivered through makramas, or royal favors. Both rulers have avoided giving the impression that their reforms are a response to popular demands, or deliberations with representatives of their peoples. Rather, it is emphasized that the emir alone has the power to chart the course, parameters and scope of liberalization.
Apart from having to worry about the next coup attempt, Sheikh Hamad enjoys the perks that go with the ruler’s job in the other GCC states. His executive and legislative powers are absolute. While he may consult with senior ruling family members, and on occasion tribal notables and merchant families, he rules directly and via his appointed Cabinet. As ruler he appoints the government, the judiciary ­ including senior clerics ­ and all senior civil servants and public sector office-holders. He has full and personal control over the state and its revenues.
This total control enables Gulf rulers to become the main channels of wealth distribution, and thus determine the political role as well as the social and economic standing of each of their subjects ­ whether a senior tribal notable, a merchant or a “stateless” bidoon.
But decades of misrule, mismanagement and failures have cast a long and dark shadow over the Gulf states. Would-be reforming rulers would have to start by addressing the most spectacular of their predecessors’ failures ­ their inability to build viable national institutions. Their absence is both a cause and a result of the failure to democratize, the chronic violations of human rights of both citizens and foreign residents and the pervasive corruption. Existing institutions, such as the judiciary, the media, the armed forces, or the central banks, have been reduced to instruments of the ruling families.
Rather than promoting the development of constitutional regimes, the limited political changes envisaged in Qatar, as in Bahrain, could end up merely modernizing the prevailing patrimonial regimes ­ while preserving the state, its administration, its resources and its military force as the personal instruments of the head of state and his dynasty.
To gain credibility and viability, the political reform plans pursued in the Gulf need to address the role and privileges of the ruling families, within a democratic system whose basic premise is equality between all citizens regardless of tribal origin, ethnicity, gender or faith.

Abdulhadi Khalaf is a Bahraini academic teaching sociology of development at the University of Lund, Sweden. He wrote this commentary for The Daily Star

Copyright © The Daily Star

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